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Bharatiya hawai yatra udyog ko projeck kiya gaya hai ki is fiscal varsh mein, jise FY2023 mein lagbhag 17,000-17,500 crore rupees ke anumanit nuksan the, un nuksanon ko 3,000-5,000 crore rupees tak kam kiya jayega.

Is sudhar ka shrey ICRA credit ratings agency ko diya gaya hai jiska kehna hai ki ismein behtar utpadan aur ek sthir lagat vatavaran ka yogdan hai. Iske alawa, ICRA anuman lagati hai ki desh ke antarik hawai yatra yatayat mein vridhi 8-13% tak hogi dono FY2024 aur FY2025 mein. Agency udyog ke prati sakaratmak drishti banaye rakhti hai swasth yatra yatayat vriddhi, behtar utpadan, aur sthir lagat vatavaran ke karan.

ICRA ka anuman hai ki is vittiya varsh mein desh ke antarik hawai yatra yatayat 150-155 million tak pahunch jayega, jisse ki FY2020 ke 141.2 million se jyada ho jayega. Iske alawa, udyog ke net nuksan ki kamai ki jaa rahi hai aur ICRA ki apeksha hai ki FY2024 mein yah 30-50 arab rupees tak ghatega, behtar utpadan aur sthir lagat vatavaran ke sath.

ICRA Limited ne kaha ki hawai yatra yatayat mein vriddhi FY2025 mein bhi jari rahegi, hawai yatra ki mang mein vriddhi aur behtar hawai adde ki vyavastha ke sahayata se. Is fiscal varsh ke pahle ath mahino mein desh ke antarik hawai yatra yatayat mein varsh par varsh 17% ki vriddhi darj ki gayi hai, jise pre-Covid staron ko bhi par kiya gaya hai. Iske alawa, Bharatiya carriers ki antarrashtriya yatra yatayat FY2023 mein pre-Covid staron ko paar kar chuki hai aur is varsh peak staron ko bhi paar karne ki ummeed hai jo FY2019 mein the.

Airlines ne behtar moolya nirdharan ki shakti bhi mahsoos ki hai, jo ki cost per available seat kilometer ke mukable mein better yields aur revenue per available seat kilometer laayi hai.

ICRA ne kaha ki udyog aage bhi lagbhag 1,500 anshik bhugtan aircrafts jodne ka iraada rakhta hai. Lekin vimanan OEMs mein upkaran snigdhata ke mudde ke karan yah vriddhi dhire-dhire hogi. In bhugtanon ka ek bada hissa purane vimananon ko naye fuel-efficient vimanon ke saath badalne ke liye hoga.

ICRA ka anuman hai ki madhyam-term mein yatra yatayat mein vriddhi ki ummeed hai yatra yatra mein vriddhi ke karan. Iske alawa, Bharatiya carriers antarrashtriya yatra yatayat mein vriddhi karne ka iraada kar rahe hain, jinki share FY2023 mein lagbhag 42% tha.

Yeh Bharatiya carriers ke liye antarrashtriya yatra yatayat mein traction hasil karne ka ek avasar prastut karta hai. Yatra yatra mein sudhar hone ke bawajood, utpadan ke moolyon ka gati vistar se nigraani ki jayegi kyun ki ATF ke moolyon mein unnatim aur Bharatiya rupaye ke prati US dollar ke patan ke karan. 9M FY2024 mein average ATF moolya FY2020 ke mukable 59% adhik the, lekin FY2023 ke mukable 17% ghat gaye.

Yeh vimanan ki vyaya ka 30-40% bhag hai, aur unke chalne wale vyaya ke adhikansh hisse ko US dollar mein denominated kiya gaya hai.

Haal hi mein, Bharatiya hawaa yatra udyog ko apne upkaran snigdhata ke saath badi mushkilein aayi hain. Iske parinam swaroop, lagbhag 20-22% tak ki kul vimanan abhi bhi sthit hain. Banerjee ke mutabiq, Pratt and Whitney (P and W) dwara nirmit engine mein powder-coating ke hilaf hua nedhe se yah ummeed hai ki fiscal varsh 2024 ke chauthe quarter tak aur adhik vimanan sthit honge.

Isse lagbhag 22-24% tak ki udyog ki kshamata sthit hogi. Is vimanan sthitika se utpann hone vaale vyaya ko sthir karne ki cost, sthiti ki kami ke liye adhik vimanan ko leas karne ke liye lease kiraya mein vriddhi, aur kamane vaale seat kilometer ke cost per available seat kilometer ke mukable adhik lease daro aur kam fuel efficiency ke karan yatra yatra ki lagat strukchar aur samanya nakdi prabhutva ko nakaratmak prabhavit karenge.